Theoretical economics Theoretical economics Теоретическая экономика 2221-3260 6a9c164932807fdbab87359d 10.52957/2221-3260-2026-8-140-152 СОВРЕМЕННЫЕ ПРОБЛЕМЫ МИРОВОЙ ЭКОНОМИКИ MODERN PROBLEMS OF THE WORLD ECONOMY СОВРЕМЕННЫЕ ПРОБЛЕМЫ МИРОВОЙ ЭКОНОМИКИ The Impact of Economic Integration Processes on the Exports of the Western Balkans Воздействие экономических интеграционных процессов на экспорт стран Западных Балкан Воронова Татьяна Андреевна Voronova Tatiana Andreevna Voronova.TA@rea.ru

доктор экономических наук;

doctor of economic sciences;

 Масленникова Наталья Владимировна Maslennikova Natalia Vladimirovna Maslennikova.NV@rea.ru

кандидат экономических наук;

candidate of economic sciences;

 Трохова Екатерина Владимировна Trokhova Ekaterina Vladimirovna Trokhova.EV@rea.ru

кандидат экономических наук;

candidate of economic sciences;

 Селамовски Филип Selamovski Filip Selamovski.F@rea.ru Российский экономический университет имени Г. В. Плеханова Москва Россия Plekhanov Russian University of Economics Moscow Russian Federation 30 08 2026 30 08 2026 8 140 152 21 04 2026 27 07 2026 © 2026 Воронова Т.А., Масленникова Н.В., Трохова Е.В., Селамовски Ф. © 2026 Voronova T.A., Maslennikova N.V., Trokhova E.V., Selamovski F. 2026 Воронова Татьяна Андреевна, Масленникова Наталья Владимировна, Трохова Екатерина Владимировна, Селамовски Филип Voronova Tatiana Andreevna, Maslennikova Natalia Vladimirovna, Trokhova Ekaterina Vladimirovna, Selamovski Filip https://chemintech.ru/en/nauka/publications/6a9c164932807fdbab87359d/view

В статье рассмотрен экспорт стран Западных Балкан в рамках ключевых действующих торговых соглашений в период с 2010 по 2024 гг. Цель исследования – определить степень воздействия европейских интеграционных процессов по сравнению с другими факторами, формирующими экспортные потоки. Для эмпирического анализа использована расширенная гравитационная модель торговли, учитывающая ключевые региональные аспекты. Выявлено, что экономическая интеграция в рамках Центрально-европейской ассоциации свободной торговли в сочетании с наличием устойчивых историко-экономических связей, и географической близостью действительно способствовали увеличению внутригрупповой торговли. Аналогичным образом показано, что интеграция с Европейским союзом оказала значительное положительное воздействие на экспортные поставки данного региона. При этом результаты указывают, что двусторонние торговые соглашения с Европейской асссоциацией свободной торговли не привели к ожидаемому росту экспорта. Сделан вывод, что страны Западных Балкан склоны к торговле с крупными экономиками в рамках действующих торговых соглашений. Отмечено, что наряду с классическим регионализмом, вовлечение в трансрегиональные интеграционные процессы позволит повысить конкурентоспособность и снизить торговую зависимость. Результаты исследования могут быть использованы при адаптации государственной внешнеэкономической политики, а также в исследованиях воздействия интеграционных процессов на европейские модели развития экспортного потенциала и конкурентоспособности экспортно-ориентированных отраслей.

This article examines Western Balkan exports under key existing trade agreements for the period 2010–2024. The objective of the study is to determine the impact of European integration processes vis-à-vis other factors shaping export flows. An augmented gravity trade model, which considers key regional aspects, was used for the empirical analysis. It is found that economic integration within the Central European Free Trade Association, combined with the presence of stable historical and economic ties and geographic proximity, did indeed contribute to an increase in intra-group trade. Similarly, integration with the European Union was shown to have had a significant positive impact on the region's exports. However, the results indicate that bilateral trade agreements with the European Free Trade Association did not lead to the expected increase in exports. It is concluded that Western Balkan countries are inclined to trade with large economies under existing trade agreements. It is noted that, along with classical regionalism, involvement in transregional integration processes will improve competitiveness and reduce trade dependence. The results of the study can be used to adapt state foreign economic policy, as well as in studies of the impact of integration processes on European models of export potential development and the competitiveness of export-oriented industries. A certain limitation of the study is its focus on export flows, which determines the prospects for further theoretical and empirical research on the impact of economic integration on import flows in Western Balkan countries.

 экономическая интеграция экспорт Западные Балканы Европа детерминанты торговли трансрегионализм economic integration export Western Balkans Europe determinants of trade inter-regionalism

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